“Buy in October and get your portfolio sober.”
again but fear not. Our Tactical Seasonal
MACD Buy signal has triggered. Market seasonality has turned bullish, and October has
historically been a good time to buy. Our bullish outlook for Q4 remains
intact. The market’s pullback/correction has most likely run its course, the
seasonal low is likely in, and the market is poised to begin a new trend
higher. Weakness can be considered an opportunity to accumulate new long
positions for the “Best Months.”
1971, there has always been a NASDAQ Yearend Rally and its average advance has
been 14.7%. We define the Yearend Rally as the gain from NASDAQ’s September or
October closing low through its high in November or December. NASDAQ’s best
Yearend rally was an amazing 54.5% in 1998. And even when we review NASDAQ’s
performance from the same September or October low through the last day of the
year, NASDAQ has been nearly as strong, advancing 94.2% of the time with an
average gain of 11.1%. And none of the three losses occurred in a pre-election
year like 2023!
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